Four causes, there is no fifth
- Too few enquiries. The pipeline does not supply the volume. That is a marketing and budget question.
- Low conversion. Enough enquiries, few payments. That is a sales team question.
- Small average deal. Enough payments, not enough money. That is a product mix and upsell question.
- Money stuck. Deals exist, payments never landed. That is a receivables question.
How to find yours in half an hour
- Take average monthly enquiries over the last three months.
- Take conversion from enquiry to payment over the same period.
- Take average deal size by payments received, not by invoices issued.
- Multiply the three. That is what your team delivers with nothing changed.
- Compare it with quota, and with the cash that actually arrived.
How to read the result
- Product below quota. The quota is unreachable on current inputs. That is not the reps' fault, and pushing them will not move it.
- Product equals quota, actuals are lower. You are losing deals mid-month: response time, stalled threads, price never quoted.
- Product above quota, cash missing. Look at the gap between booked deals and money received. That is receivables.
- It adds up, but not every month. Look at seasonality and at how quota is split across weeks.
Why not to ask the reps
Asked directly why quota is missed, a sales team almost always answers «we are expensive» and «competitors». It is the only answer that blames nobody inside the room. Test it: pull twenty deals closed as lost-on-price and read the threads. If price never came up in half of them, price is not your problem.
What to do with the answer
- too few enquiries: work out cost per enquiry and budget, the sales team is not the issue
- low conversion: measure response speed, share of threads where price was quoted, and follow-ups on stalled deals
- small average deal: work on product mix and a list of accounts to upsell
- receivables: set a payment schedule and name one person who collects