Knowledge base · metrics

Plan versus actual: how to see a miss before month end

in short

A plan reconciled once at the end of the month manages nothing: by the time you see the miss, the month is gone. A working plan breaks into weeks and into two or three drivers you can watch daily: enquiries handled, conversion, average deal size. A gap in any of them in week two leaves you two more weeks to react. Compare not against last month but against the same week of the previous month, because sales carry strong within-month seasonality.

Why a monthly plan does not work

  • you learn about the miss when nothing can be done about it
  • there are no checkpoints where a gap becomes visible
  • the plan is stated in money, and only actions can be managed

How to break it down

  1. Split the monthly plan into weeks, allowing for your within-month seasonality.
  2. Split the weekly plan into drivers: enquiries, conversion, deal size.
  3. For each driver, name who is answerable.
  4. Set a daily number for every driver, not only for money.

How to read a gap

  • Fewer enquiries, conversion normal is a question for marketing, not for the sales team.
  • Enough enquiries, conversion down is a question for the sales team: speed, follow-ups, script.
  • Conversion normal, deal size down is a question for the product mix and for upselling.
  • Everything normal, no money is a question for receivables: the deals exist, the payments never arrived.
This is the practical use of a metric tree: it turns «the plan is not being met» into a specific area and a specific person.

One habit that changes a lot

Every Monday, compare against the same week of last month rather than against last week. The first week of a month is almost always weaker than the last, and comparing neighbouring weeks raises a false alarm.

Questions people ask

How many parts should I split a monthly plan into?

Into weeks, adjusted for within-month seasonality. Four equal parts almost never match reality.

What should I do if the plan is missed two months running?

Check whether it is achievable at all at your current enquiry volume and conversion. Often the problem is the plan itself.

Sources: the system of metric maps and metric trees («Neuro MBA» course, Nekrasov and Kolokolov, 2026), market benchmarks 2025-2026, and Double Sales' own measurements on projects.
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